Source: Azeem Azhar, Exponential View
The seven largest AI builders—Meta, Microsoft, Google, Amazon, Tesla, Apple, and Nvidia—are committing $863 billion to capital expenditure in 2026, an 88% year-over-year increase. These are binding corporate guidance figures, meaning the capex commitment affects earnings guidance and shareholder expectations. The concentration of this spending among seven companies is consolidating economic power: smaller players and startups will increasingly rent compute from these oligopolists rather than build their own, shifting value capture in the AI stack.