Source: Azeem Azhar, Exponential View
The sector's revenue growth—now at $126 billion annually—is outpacing the hype cycle that typically precedes tech bubbles, but the distribution matters more than the aggregate. Which companies are capturing that revenue, and whether it maps to defensible competitive advantages or just first-mover positioning, will determine if the sector sustains. A trillion-dollar AI market means nothing if most players compete on commoditized inference at razor-thin margins. The question is whether current capital consolidates into sustainable business models or scatters across hundreds of well-funded startups racing toward undifferentiated competition.