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# Can This Russian Bakery Survive a 3,500% Tax Increase?
- URL: https://adjacent.media/signals/can-this-russian-bakery-survive-a-3500-tax-increase/
- Published: 2026-03-28T22:15:50.000Z
- Updated: 2026-04-02T09:57:49.000Z
- Description: NYT > Business // Russia’s pivot toward punitive taxation of surviving small businesses signals a government abandoning the pretense of economic diversification—instead extracting whatever cash remains from the productive sector to fund warfare, a strategy that historically precedes either econom...
- Author: Jonathan Greene
- Tags: #signal, theme-commerce, pricing, retail

Source: [NYT > Business](https://www.nytimes.com/2026/03/28/world/europe/russia-economy-small-business-tax-increase.html?ref=adjacent.media)

Russia’s pivot toward punitive taxation of surviving small businesses signals a government abandoning the pretense of economic diversification—instead extracting whatever cash remains from the productive sector to fund warfare, a strategy that historically precedes either economic collapse or radical political rupture. This isn’t just inflation or adjustment; it’s the visible moment when state survival instincts override market functionality, foreshadowing either a hard economic reset or the emergence of entirely informal/grey economies as Russia’s actual commercial backbone.