Source: Stratechery by Ben Thompson
Samsung, SK Hynix, and Micron selling advanced memory technology to Chinese manufacturers has created a structural vulnerability. Once Beijing achieves production parity, Western chipmakers lose pricing power and their technological advantage at the same time. Microsoft's shift toward building its own AI models and infrastructure is a hedge against closed ecosystems controlled by OpenAI or foreign chip suppliers. The company is betting that owning silicon, software, and models together is the only defensible position as geopolitical fragmentation intensifies.