Export Controls Push Western AI Firms Toward Open Source Economics

The combination of runaway inference costs and geopolitical friction over Anthropic's Mythos models is forcing a strategic reckoning: closed, proprietary AI systems are becoming economically and politically untenable for many Western companies, while Chinese firms have spent the last two years building supply chains optimized around open-source alternatives. This is more than cost arbitrage. Open-source AI development concentrates capital in silicon and compute rather than in licensing and API fees—exactly where China's manufacturing ecosystem already dominates.