Source: Uncoveralpha
Leading a benchmark leaderboard no longer guarantees high margins. Frontier labs that dominated 2021-2023 now face 60-80% margin compression as competition commoditizes raw model performance. Commercial value is shifting from the labs themselves toward whoever owns distribution, integrates AI into products customers pay for, and converts model outputs into revenue—OpenAI's enterprise deals and Anthropic's Claude through AWS are the models here. The venture thesis that "best model = best business" no longer holds. This reshuffles which AI companies merit premium valuations and forces labs to build commercial moats beyond R&D.