Source: Getting Out of Control
The concentration of advanced AI capabilities within government and defense sectors creates a two-tier access problem: state actors and their contractors gain institutional advantage while consumer and small business access remains constrained by cost, compute capacity, and regulatory friction. This inverts the typical tech adoption curve where consumer markets drive innovation and eventually democratize tools. Surveillance and warfare applications are receiving development resources while productivity and creativity tools remain expensive luxuries. The risk is that regulatory moats and procurement advantages allow governments to keep the most capable systems locked behind contracting barriers indefinitely, not merely that they gain early access.