Source: Semianalysis
While 2027's 33.8 GW datacenter pipeline is largely locked in with three-quarters already under construction, the real vulnerability sits in 2028, when 62.2 GW of capacity—most still in pre-construction approvals—faces new regulatory headwinds from this week's gubernatorial elections across 13 key states accounting for 70% of planned U.S. additions. Texas's prolonged permit freeze has become the single largest chokepoint. Datacenter siting has shifted from a technical problem to a political one, with bipartisan skepticism making 2028 permitting timelines genuinely uncertain for the first time in the recent expansion cycle.