Source: Ed Elson
OpenAI and Anthropic face a material barrier to IPO: neither has shown a path to sustained profitability at scale. Training and operating large language models demands capital intensity that keeps compounding. Billions in training costs, competitive pricing pressure, and unclear product-market fit beyond chatbots create a financial model public markets will scrutinize. Current business metrics cannot credibly answer the questions investors will ask. This is structural, not a timing problem better unit economics can fix. Market confidence in "AI profitability" remains fragile because the constraint is real.