What happens to software engineers when AI writes code

Gergely Orban's analysis maps a real economic pressure: as coding assistants like Claude and ChatGPT become table stakes, junior engineers face compression—fewer entry-level roles, faster skill obsolescence, and recruitment that now demands full-stack capability or specialization from day one. The immediate casualty isn't the engineering profession itself but the apprenticeship model that built it. Companies optimizing for productivity will skip the scaffolding layer, forcing career entry upward in seniority requirements. The risk is straightforward: the funnel that historically converted computer science graduates into competent practitioners narrows, potentially constraining the supply of experienced talent in 5-10 years.