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Commerce Media Will Capture One-Quarter of Digital Ad Spending

Commerce media—ads sold directly by retailers like Amazon and Walmart—is consolidating advertiser budgets at the expense of traditional digital platforms, with eMarketer projecting it will command 25% of all digital ad spend. Brands now negotiate separately with first-party retail networks rather than buying reach through consolidated demand-side platforms, forcing agencies and marketing teams to rebuild workflows around multiple walled gardens. The consequence for Google and Meta is direct: if one-quarter of digital ad dollars flow to retail media networks, that's one-quarter fewer dollars available for search and social, restructuring which platforms control customer acquisition economics.