Source: Chartbook
US tariffs on Chinese goods have proven effective at reshuffling logistics networks—pushing manufacturing through Vietnam, Mexico, and other intermediaries—but have failed to meaningfully decrease American reliance on Chinese production. This exposes a core tension in reshoring and decoupling rhetoric: tariffs are blunt instruments that create arbitrage opportunities rather than structural alternatives, allowing companies to preserve existing supply relationships while simply changing the paperwork. For commerce infrastructure and policymakers betting on actual supply chain independence, the distance between tariff theater and genuine production shift is now measurable.