The Insurance Appeal Gap: Why AI Companies See Gold in Denied Claims
Source: Nate’s Substack
A massive asymmetry exists between insurance denials and appeals. Fewer than 1% of rejected claims get challenged, yet a third to half of appeals succeed. Insurers are keeping money that should go to patients. This creates an economic opening for AI companies to build automated appeal systems that extract value from the claims process. The gap isn't behavioral ignorance alone—it's a software opportunity. The real tension isn't about fairness. It's about who captures the spread between what insurers deny and what they'd actually pay if forced to justify it.